This move in rates was not expected because the Fed was going to keep rates low for another 2 years. Well this move may have caught some with their pants down and if it did we will be be hearing about it. Since the beginning of May, US Governments LT declined 13%, High Yield declined 6%, Investment grade Corp bonds declined 8%, and Municipal bonds declined 7%. Something is happening to cause this decline and it has not been disclosed yet. I can't believe this action will not impact stocks.
Mikey
Muni |
Long Term Gov |
Investment Grade Corp Bonds |
High Yield |
DJI Close 14799.40 +41.08
DJI Trend Summary
Long Term UP/ Intermediate UP/ Daily down/Short Term down
Hourly down 6-19 15169
Daily downtrend: 15037 on 6-20 2 trading days
Intermediate Uptrend: at 13412 on 1-2 ( 117 trading days)
Long Term Uptrend 11315 on 11-1-10 2 years + 7 months
Long Term UP/ Intermediate UP/ Daily down/Short Term down
Hourly down 6-19 15169
Daily downtrend: 15037 on 6-20 2 trading days
Intermediate Uptrend: at 13412 on 1-2 ( 117 trading days)
Long Term Uptrend 11315 on 11-1-10 2 years + 7 months
IBD confirmed downtrend 6-20 14758
Current Trading range 14444 -15542
Current Trading range 14444 -15542
Step Down trading Range 14050 - 14444
Resistence: 15542
Support 1 15180 broken
Support 2 14844 broken
Support 3 14400
Average watch
Resistence: 15542
Support 1 15180 broken
Support 2 14844 broken
Support 3 14400
Average watch
50 Hour Ave: 15082 price below
20 Day Ave: 15143 Price below
20 Day Ave: 15143 Price below
50 Day Ave: 15023 Price below
200 Day Ave: 13965 Price above
200 Day Ave: 13965 Price above
20 Week Ave: 14702 Price above
50 Week Ave: 13829 Price above
200 Week Ave: 12020 Price above
50 Month Ave: 11836 Price above
Indicators
NYSE A/D 0 NASDAQ A/D +479
NYSE A/D line 93111 NASDAQ A/D line -3051
Put/Call 1.09 10 day 1.00 Put Prem/Call Prem 1.09 10 day .93
% Stocks above 50 day average 45
CNN Fear/Greed Index 19 fear (100 Greed to 0 Fear)
200 Week Ave: 12020 Price above
50 Month Ave: 11836 Price above
Indicators
NYSE A/D 0 NASDAQ A/D +479
NYSE A/D line 93111 NASDAQ A/D line -3051
Put/Call 1.09 10 day 1.00 Put Prem/Call Prem 1.09 10 day .93
% Stocks above 50 day average 45
CNN Fear/Greed Index 19 fear (100 Greed to 0 Fear)
Mikey total OB/OS Oscillator Range (+550 to -550) -344
Bulls 46.8 (58.8 to 21.3) Bears 21.9 (54.4 to 15.6) Ratio 2.14
Mutual Fund Purch/Redemp: 1.17 (.66 to 1.46) High public buy
DJI PE ratio 16.4 DJI Price/Book 3.71 (1.27 to 4.13)
DJI Dividend Yield 2.50 (2.38 to 4.45)
NYSE Vol (in Millions) 5489 NASDAQ Vol 2704
New Highs NYSE 32 NASDAQ 59
Bulls 46.8 (58.8 to 21.3) Bears 21.9 (54.4 to 15.6) Ratio 2.14
Mutual Fund Purch/Redemp: 1.17 (.66 to 1.46) High public buy
DJI PE ratio 16.4 DJI Price/Book 3.71 (1.27 to 4.13)
DJI Dividend Yield 2.50 (2.38 to 4.45)
NYSE Vol (in Millions) 5489 NASDAQ Vol 2704
New Highs NYSE 32 NASDAQ 59
New Lows NYSE 281 NASDAQ 72
Closing Prices
Closing Prices
- US Stock
DJI 14799.40 -41.08 DJT 6110.43 -31.99 SPX 1592.43 +4.24
DJU 471.77 +6.20 NASDAQ 3357.25 -7.38
US Debt Markets
US Gov: 3 mo .051% 2 yr .38% 5 yr 1.41% 10 yr 2.51% 30 yr 3.57%
Mortgage Rates 30 year 4.36 % 15 Yr 3.42%
Yield: Investment grade 3.29 High Yield 6.56
IEF(2-10 year) 102.01 -1.11 TLT (US 20 yr) 108.50 -1.77
Muni Bonds 102.48 1.60 Cal Muni (NCA) 9.21 -.03 Yield: Investment grade 3.29 High Yield 6.56
IEF(2-10 year) 102.01 -1.11 TLT (US 20 yr) 108.50 -1.77
LQD (Inv Grade Corp) 112.22 -.91 High Yield 90.18 -.56
Commodities
CRB Commodities Index 278.08 -1.49
Gold 1292 +5.80 Silver 19.96 +.14
Copper 3.10 +.03 Platinum 1369.50 +5.70
Oil 93.69 -1.45 Gasoline 2.76 -.02 Nat Gas 3.77 -.11
Copper 3.10 +.03 Platinum 1369.50 +5.70
Oil 93.69 -1.45 Gasoline 2.76 -.02 Nat Gas 3.77 -.11
US Dollar Long Term/ Intermediate Term / Daily Trend / Short term
All Market Trends:
Commodities
Gold: (GLD) Long/ Intermediate Daily / Short term
Silver: (SLV) Long / Intermediate / Daily / Short term
Copper:(JCC) Long / Intermediate / Daily / Short term
Oil: (USO) Long / Intermediate / Daily/ Short term
Gasoline (UGA) Long/ Intermediate / Daily/Short term
Nat Gas:(UNG)Long Term/ Intermediate/ Daily/ Short term
Commod (USCI) Long Term/ Intermediate / Daily / Short term
Bond Markets
US Bonds LT (TLT) Long Term/ Intermed/ Daily/ Short term
US Corp BBB (LQD) Long Term/ intermediate/Daily/ Short term
US Muni (MUB) Long Term Intermed/ Daily/ Short Trend
US Corp BBB (LQD) Long Term/ intermediate/Daily/ Short term
US Muni (MUB) Long Term Intermed/ Daily/ Short Trend
High Yield (HYG) Long Term/Intermed/ Daily/ Short term
Utility stocks (XLU):Long Term/ Intermed/ Daily / Short term
Utility stocks (XLU):Long Term/ Intermed/ Daily / Short term
Stocks
US ($DJI) Long Term/Interrmed Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
US ($DJI) Long Term/Interrmed Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Europe(IEV) Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
China (FXI) Long Term/ intermed Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Brazil EWZ) Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
India (PIN) Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Emerg Mkt(EEM) Long Term/ Interm Term/ Daily Trend/Short term
Japan (EWJ) Long Term/ In termed Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Stocks I like
These are not recommendations as I am not an analyst or financial planner
Stocks I like
These are not recommendations as I am not an analyst or financial planner
Buy Signal = Daily and Intermediate green, short term turns green
IF Long and Intermediate are green buy sell off to 50 day average
Buy Put 5% out of the money with less than 1 month to expiration
or place stop 5% below purchase price
Sell = price returns to pre selloff highs
Buy Put 5% out of the money with less than 1 month to expiration
or place stop 5% below purchase price
Sell = price returns to pre selloff highs
AAPL Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
AET Long Term/ Intermediate Term / Daily Trend/ Short term
AGU Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
AET Long Term/ Intermediate Term / Daily Trend/ Short term
AGU Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
APA Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
APC Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
APC Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
ATHN Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
AUY Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
AXP Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
BOFI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
BP Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
BWLD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
CAT Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
AXP Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
BOFI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
BP Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
BWLD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
CAT Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
CLNE Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
COG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
COP Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/Short term
COST Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
COP Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/Short term
COST Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
CRM Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
DAL Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
DDD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
DISCK Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
ELLI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
DAL Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
DDD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
DISCK Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
ELLI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
FB Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
FDX Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
GILD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
GLW Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
FDX Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
GILD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
GLW Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
GMCR Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
GOOG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
HAL Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
HD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
HEI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
HFC Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
IT Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
GOOG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
HAL Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
HD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
HEI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
HFC Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
IT Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
KORS Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
KMX Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
LCC Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
KMX Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend Short term
LCC Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
LNKD Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
LEN Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
MCD Long Term/ Intermediate Term// Daily Trend Short term
LEN Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
MCD Long Term/ Intermediate Term// Daily Trend Short term
MELI Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
NOV Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
NOV Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
ORB Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
P Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
P Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
PAA Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
PG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
QCOM Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
PG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
QCOM Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
RAX Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
SLB Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
WAG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
WFM Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
XONE Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Z Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Short ETF's
SLB Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
WAG Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
WFM Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
XONE Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Z Long Term/ Intermediate Term/ Daily Trend/ Short term
Short ETF's
SJB (Short High Yield bonds) Long / Intermediate / Daily/ Short
VIXY (Short term VIX futures) Long /Intermediate / Daily/ Short
YXI (Short China) Long / Intermediate / Daily / Short
SEF (Short Financial Index) Long / Intermediate / Daily / Short
DOG (Short DJI) Long / Intermediate / Daily / Short
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