tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-31363554399573172292012-02-02T11:54:55.106-08:00Mikey... The Market ShadowTracking market trends...An alternative to the main stream financial pressMikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.comBlogger10651100tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-74086165663175548762012-02-01T23:15:00.000-08:002012-02-02T11:54:55.158-08:00Yesterday weak today strong<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">In an amazing twist of fate the economy suddenly turned positive 1 day after the CBO forecasted a weak 2012. That is the way they play you just to do what is necessary to move capital through the markets and keep the casino going. Yes, it is a casino a casino of the mind and one that is played out online without brokers but talking figure heads telling you about things that they can change at the drop of a hat just like today. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">This casino used to be run by the private sector and now it is being run by the government. Obama and the Central banks vs the Republicans and big business. They both have one aim and that is to steal from the treasury for their own good. The way to know that is to watch the national debt bolt by the trillions as the big corporations come in with their 4th year of great earnings. Meanwhile, the economy limps along at 2%. I am talking about a 2% from a crashed economy and if you believe those numbers then you will believe anything. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The Central banks ability to corner the markets in just about every sector points to that fact that capitalism is now socialized capitalism. The idea is that things are what we say they are and if you do not believe it then just look at the stock and bond markets. A government with out of control debt and 3% 30 year rates is nuts. A stock market that has doubled from it crash because of record corporate earnings is an indicator of where this debt is going. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The economy is in bad shape and is being held together by the smoke and mirrors of the Central banks and by the complicity of the politicians in large governments around the world. This game will go on as long as money is willing to come to the casino. Now think about the idea of having you retirement money is this. The problem is that because they have lowered interest rates on safe investments it is the only way to grow your assets. I say that putting you money in stocks and bonds with the la la level of prices now is suicide. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The one world government uses money flow in and out of each sovereign bank to plug holes in the damn with out regard to the sovereignty of each country. They move money and run stories so that the casino can profit and make money off of the crisis that they created. </span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The point is that it is out of control when the crooks are have no shame and that is where we are today. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">What strikes me is that the biggest problem and the biggest crooks are the banks. The issue of putting anyone of these guys in jail never comes out of a politicians mouth. How about some politician comes up with a plan to forgive all credit card debt and close the banks that will not comply. That will get the economy going and won't cost the government a damn thing. Do you think the economy will explode???? Why not? They are doing it in Greece right now. The way things are being done today is disingenuous and dangerous and goverments are losing their legitimacy. ....end of rant</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The numbers show that the all the longer Mikey numbers are getting fat. The Mikey10 is 126. Mikey20 is 166. Mikey50 is 140. These are numbers I see at tops. The top is complete when the sell signal is given. The sell signal usually needs to given twice before the top is confirmed. We are overbought and the shorts are dead. </span><br /><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12800</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: black;">UP(1)</span> ...signal 2-1 12700 </span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (42 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(10</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (28 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Volume(Millions) NYSE 887 NASDAQ 2.051B</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Advance/Decline NYSE +1907 NASDAQ +1327 Mikey A/D line 45411</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+62)<span style="color: lime;">Neutral</span> Mikey10 (+126)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+166) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50(+140) <span style="color: red;">OB</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 70% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">76</span>, </span>10 day .</span><span style="color: black;">82</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.67</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">71</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.65 Bulls 48.9%, Bears 29.6%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+152.86),<span style="color: red;">Negative cross 1-30</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+238.16), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.55 VXZ 53.78 Mikey Fear 86 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12664 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12679 <span style="color: black;">Rising/Price below</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12566 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12195 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11954 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12025 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11772 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10779 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12716.46 +83.55 S/P 500 1324.09 +11.68 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7931.45 +1.19 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2848.27 +34.43 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT5343.10 23.96 DJU 450.91 +2.07</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0880% 2 yr .2224% 5 Yr .7312% 10 yr 1.84 30 yr 3.00</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.88% 30 Yr Rifi 3.95% 15 Yr 3.19% 5/1 ARM 2.86</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.95 -.53 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">119.08 -1.77 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 112.61 +.54 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.75 +.10</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.78 -.29 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 311.53 -.78 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1749.50 +9.10 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 33.80 +.54 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.84 +.06 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum </span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 98.48 +.70 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB 2.89 +.02 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.39 -.11</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.3023 -.03 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5694 +.0071 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0782 +.0057 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2909 -.0004 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0721 +.69 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">79.03 -.41 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas) 60.83 +.39 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.42 +.01 IBND (Intl Corp)32.77 +.14</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-family: Trebuchet MS;"></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-30 </strong><strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-26 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 1-26 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 1-26 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">(Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>1-26 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;">c<strong>urrent trend up</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>1-21 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><br /><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-7408616566317554876?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-15827583052178581362012-01-31T21:18:00.000-08:002012-01-31T21:18:34.343-08:00Long bonds return to uptrend Economic story turns weak<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br />Exxon drops 2% on weak margins<br />DJIA has 4th day of small losses<br />CBO says 2012 economy 2% growth 1 trillion deficit<br />Amazon falls on earnings miss<br />Long bonds return to uptrend<br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12800</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: red;">down</span>(2) ...signal 1-30 <u>12585</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (41 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(10</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (27 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Volume(Millions) NYSE 900 NASDAQ 1.69 B</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Advance/Decline NYSE +518 NASDAQ +171 Mikey A/D line 43504</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+54)<span style="color: lime;">Neutral</span> Mikey10 (+123)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+162) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50(+102) <span style="color: red;">OB</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 65% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">62</span>, </span>10 day .</span><span style="color: black;">82</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.68</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.74 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 28.7%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+155.93),<span style="color: red;">Negative cross 1-30</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+231.92), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 19.44 VXZ 54.68 Mikey Fear 82 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12626 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12673 <span style="color: black;">Rising/Price below</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12550 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12176 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11950 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12023 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11625 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10790 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12632.91 -20.81 S/P 500 1312.41 -.60 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7838.48 +4.07 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2813.84 +1.90 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5319.14 -2.83 DJU 448.84 +2.28</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0805% 2 yr .2186% 5 Yr .7123% 10 yr 1.81 30 yr 2.95</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.85% 30 Yr Rifi 3.91% 15 Yr 3.17% 5/1 ARM 2.85</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">106.48 +.40 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">120.76 +1.29 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 112.07 -.68 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.65 +.10 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">84.05 +.06</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 312.31 -1.60 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1740.40 +9.40 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 33.26 -.26 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.78 -.05 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1588.10 -28.20 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 98.48 +.70 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB 2.89 +.02 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.50 -.21 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.3030 -.0041 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5630 +.0057 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0725 -.0028</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2913 +.0020 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0639 +.14 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">79.46 +.16 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas) 60.44 +.37 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.33 +.08 IBND (Intl Corp)32.62 -.01</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-30 </strong><strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-26 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 1-26 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 1-26 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">(Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>1-26 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;">c<strong>urrent trend up</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>1-21 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><br /><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-1582758305217858136?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-55199008224421409172012-01-30T19:29:00.000-08:002012-01-30T19:29:18.330-08:00<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12800</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: red;">down</span>(1) ...signal 1-30 <u>12585</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (40 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(10</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (26 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Volume(Millions) NYSE 741 NASDAQ 1.617</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Advance/Decline NYSE -769 NASDAQ -830 Mikey A/D line 42986</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+50)<span style="color: lime;">Neutral</span> Mikey10 (+136)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+152) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+81) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 64% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.94</span>, </span>10 day .</span><span style="color: black;">80</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.73</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.74 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 28.7%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+165.86),<span style="color: red;">Negative cross 1-30</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+233.19), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 19.40 VXZ 54.28 Mikey Fear 82 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12670 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12680 <span style="color: black;">Rising/Price below</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12530 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12162 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11951 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12024 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11625 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10790 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12653.72 -6.74 S/P 500 1313.01 -3.32 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7834.41 -42.20 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2811.94 -4.61 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5321.97 -22.81 DJU 446.56 -1.41 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0805% 2 yr .2108% 5 Yr .7457% 10 yr 1.86 30 yr 3.01</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.87% 30 Yr Rifi 3.93% 15 Yr 3.19% 5/1 ARM 2.86</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">106.10 +.38 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">119.42 +1.34</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 112.75 +.07 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.55 +.06</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">84.09 +.19</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 317.81 uc </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1731 -1.20 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 33.52 -.27 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.83 -.06 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1616.30 -6.90</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 97.78 -.78 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB 2.87 -.05 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.71 -.04</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 130.85 -.0078 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5573 -.0026 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0753 -.0066 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2893 +.0060 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0627 -.0065 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">79.30 +.29</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas) 60.22 -.26 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.25 +.08 IBND (Intl Corp)32.64 +.26</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-30 </strong><strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-26 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 1-26 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 1-26 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">(Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>1-26 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;">c<strong>urrent trend up</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>1-21 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><br /><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-5519900822442140917?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-13479405851486335172012-01-27T22:03:00.000-08:002012-01-27T23:20:06.307-08:00All currencies up vs dollar..... Central banks profit from Dollar fall<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The Central banks are well under way to big profits as the Euro and all other currencies step on the dollar. The weak economic forecast and the pledge to keep rates lower forever speech by the US Fed this week provided the back ground to the rally. To keep stocks up the story says that they will be ready to aide the economy for a long period of time.</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Is it just me or haven't they been doing this for 4 years? The results have been less than successful for the economy during this period. The game is to QE the market and corporate profits higher as the real economy twists in the wind. How are these corporations making thses profits? Well maybe let's just say the falling dollar is a big help. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The implication this week is the the Fed is going to support the market. This may or may not be true. To me Madoff ran a better Ponzi scheme than the Fed is running. The problem is that everyone is afraid to say that the emperor has no clothes and I might add rightfully so. It is still a Ponzi scheme none the less. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The real economy is being held up by a growing and unsustainalbe deficit that can not go on forever. Of course, this week the commodities markets turned up along with the non US currencies. How this can be a good thing is way beyond me. The price trend is all that matters not the puny stories that are fed (pun) to the public. The trend is still up, for now, on commodities and stocks. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12800</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">up</span>(26 days) ...signal 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (39 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(9</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (25 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Advance/Decline NYSE +877 NASDAQ +731 Mikey A/D line 43735</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+81)<span style="color: lime;">Neutral</span> Mikey10 (+124)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+188) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+97) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 65% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.82</span>, </span>10 day .</span><span style="color: black;">80</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.73</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.74 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 28.7%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+174.47),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+214.28 ), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.57 VXZ 54.49 Mikey Fear 86 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12709 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12679<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price below</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12511 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12156 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11894 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12018 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11626 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10790 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12660.46 -74.17 S/P 500 1316.33 -2.10 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7876.61 -7.29</strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2816.55 +11.27 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5344.78 +41.93 DJU 447.97 -6.07</strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0763% 2 yr .2147% 5 Yr .7840% 10 yr 1.95 30 yr 3.11</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.92% 30 Yr Rifi 3.99% 15 Yr 3.24% 5/1 ARM 2.89</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.72 +.32 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">118.05 +.34 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 112.73 -.14 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.49 uc</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.90 +.15</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 317.81 +.39 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1732.20 +5.50 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 33.79 +.05</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.89 uc </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1623.00 +6.20 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 99.56 -.14 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB 2.92 +.09 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.75 +.11 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.3199 +.0151 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5600 +.0042 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0819 +.0091 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2833 +.0128 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0693 +.0045 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">79.01 -.50</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas) 60.47 +.67 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.17 -.09 IBND (Intl Corp)32.38 -.14</span></strong></span></span></strong> <br /><br /><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-26 </strong><strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-26 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 1-26 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 1-26 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-27 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>1-26 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;">c<strong>urrent trend up</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>1-21 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-1347940585148633517?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-21603854221465638942012-01-26T20:19:00.000-08:002012-01-26T20:19:31.945-08:00<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Gold returns to uptrend</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">US bonds trend down</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">US Dollar current trend down</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">Intl bonds current trend up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">Intl treasuries current trend up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">Emerging debt current trend up</span></strong><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong> </strong></span><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">I guess you can see the game of currencies and world bonds as Central banks sell dollars and US bonds for Euros and international debt. Lat week the international stock market turned up. US stocks are still near their highs and mrkets show little fear of a selloff. </span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12800</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (25 days) ...signal 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (38 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(9</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (24 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+71)<span style="color: lime;">Neutral</span> Mikey10 (+120)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+150) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+72) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 64% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.92</span>, </span>10 day .</span><span style="color: black;">80</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.73</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.74 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 28.7%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+181.92 ),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+220.13), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.57 VXZ 54.49 Mikey Fear 86 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12706 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price above</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12660<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12486 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12139 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11898 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12020 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11630 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10792 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12734.63 -24.22 S/P 500 1318.43 -7.63 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7883.90 -30.91</strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2805.28 -13.03 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5302.85 +20.85 DJU 454.04 +.55</strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0763% 2 yr .2147% 5 Yr .7840% 10 yr 1.95 30 yr 3.11</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.92% 30 Yr Rifi 3.99% 15 Yr 3.24% 5/1 ARM 2.89</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.40 +.56 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">117.60 +1.13 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 112.55 +.74 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.49 +.02</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.75 +.22</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 317.42 +1.05 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1726.70 +26.60 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 33.74 +.62 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.89 +.07 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1616.80 +37.10 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 99.75 +.35 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB2.83 -.01 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.64 -.09</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.3053 -.0007 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5538 +.0043 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0728 +.0008</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2705 +.0041 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0648 +.0016 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">79.57 -.14</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 59.80 +.23 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.26 +.17 IBND (Intl Corp)32.52 +.14</span></strong></span></span></strong> <br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-family: Trebuchet MS;"></span></strong><br /><br /><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-26 </strong><strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-26 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 1-26 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 1-26 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 1-26 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 1-26 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-24 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-24 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>1-26 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;">c<strong>urrent trend up</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>1-21 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-2160385422146563894?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-62196634063530471092012-01-25T22:12:00.000-08:002012-01-25T22:12:45.751-08:00Fed we will keep rates low... Has that helped?<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>The Fed promised to keep rate low until 2014 and says the economic growth is sub par. Rates have been low for the last 3 years and the economy is only hanging on. The low rates are not reaching the real economy and the world economy is weakening. The implication is that the Fed will continue to support the market and print dollars to do it. I don't believe this will happen but as long as the trend is up I won't fight it. I expect that this is the top of not only stocks but US bonds. I also think that rates will rise from here. However, again it is not what I think but what the markets do price wise that will put me in a trade. <br /> </strong></span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong> The bottom line is that the Fed lies for a living and today was a big one. Watch for a trend change and pull the plug on long positions if it comes after the hot air that we saw today.</strong></span><br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div> <br /><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12800</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (24 days) ...signal 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (34 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(7</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (23 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+95)<span style="color: lime;">Neutral</span> Mikey10 (+126)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+152) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+94) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 65% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.81</span>, </span>10 day .79</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: black;">79</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.71 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 28.5%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+178.60 ),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+215.26), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.31 VXZ 54.32 Mikey Fear 87 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12679 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price above</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12624<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12483 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12138 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11895 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12019 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11628 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10791 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12758.85 +83.10 S/P 500 1326.06 +11.41 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7914.81 +74.16</strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2818.31 +31.67 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5282.00 +76.46 DJU 453.49 +7.22</strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0704% 2 yr .2186% 5 Yr .7919% 10 yr 1.97 30 yr 3.12</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.95% 30 Yr Rifi 4.02% 15 Yr 3.27% 5/1 ARM 2.90</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">104.81 +.47 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">116.30 -.15</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 112.10 +1.03 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.47 -.04</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.54 +.24</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 316.37 +1.68 </span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1700.10 +36.60 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 33.12 +1.15</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.82 +.02 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1579.60 +26.70 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 99.40 +.45 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.84 +.08 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.73 +.17 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.3099 +.0126 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5538 +.0043 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0720 +.0084</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2664 -.0001 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0632 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">79.71 -.31</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 59.57 +.33 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.09 +.11 IBND (Intl Corp)32.38 +.40</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-family: Trebuchet MS;"></span></strong><br /><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-20 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-24 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-24 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-20 </strong></span><span style="color: white;">c<strong>urrent trend neutral</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-20 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-6219663406353047109?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-4944879029963794792012-01-24T20:48:00.000-08:002012-01-24T20:48:05.857-08:00<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br />AAPL beats big<br />Positive signs in Europe....(really)<br /><div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"></div> <div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12720</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (23 days) ...signal 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (33 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(7</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (22 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+100)<span style="color: red;">Overbought</span> Mikey10 (+127)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+146) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+91) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 60% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">1.06</span>, </span>10 day .76</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: black;">80</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">73</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.67 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+176.79 ),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+215.21), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.91 VXZ 54.32 Mikey Fear 84 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12687 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12584<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12441 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12110 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11895 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12019 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11628 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10791 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12675.75 -33.07 S/P 500 1314.65 -1.35 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7840.65 -14.87 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2786.54 +2.54 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5205.54 -35.40 DJU 446.27 -3.49 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0704% 2 yr .2460% 5 Yr .8993 % 10 yr 2.06 30 yr 3.15</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.96% 30 Yr Rifi 4.04% 15 Yr 3.28% 5/1 ARM 2.91</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">104.28 +.06 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">116.20 -.04 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.09 -.66 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.51 +.02</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.30 +.03 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 314.69 +1.11 </span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1664.50 -13.80 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 31.97 -.30 </span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.81 +.01 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1552.40 -8.70 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 98.95 -.63 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.81 +.04 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.56 +.03 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2980 -.0003 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5470 +.0020 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0636 -.0022 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2665 -.0123 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0500 -.0062 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">80.02 +.08</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 59.24 +.03 PCY (Emerg debt) 26.98 +.17 IBND (Intl Corp)31.98 -.01 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-family: Trebuchet MS;"></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-20 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 1-24 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-24 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-20 </strong></span><span style="color: white;">c<strong>urrent trend neutral</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-20 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains 1-24 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>1-24<span style="color: lime;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt</span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-494487902996379479?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-77070272132911370642012-01-23T20:58:00.000-08:002012-01-23T21:47:17.641-08:00World bonds turning up as dollar US bonds sell off<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br />The tide is changing with the dollar going out and the world currencies coming in. I believe this is the result of the most recent crisis resolution. It is now the the Feds turn to print dollars and inflate the value of the Euro to bail out Europe. Stay tuned to the US debt crisis coming to you in a financial market near you. That of course will be a ways off but that is the apparent plan to solve the world debt crisis. A game of ping pong with world currencies and sovereign debt.<br /><div align="center"><br /></div><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-rymtfOiRBFU/Tx5Faybxo4I/AAAAAAAAArY/UZ6Eoic2Kos/s1600/123+us+bonds.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="250" src="http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-rymtfOiRBFU/Tx5Faybxo4I/AAAAAAAAArY/UZ6Eoic2Kos/s320/123+us+bonds.png" width="320" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">US Long bonds</td></tr></tbody></table><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-A7H2Z5ssr0E/Tx5FdXvCE1I/AAAAAAAAArg/f6IEvuKCCfI/s1600/124+intl+treas.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="250" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-A7H2Z5ssr0E/Tx5FdXvCE1I/AAAAAAAAArg/f6IEvuKCCfI/s320/124+intl+treas.png" width="320" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">Intl Treasury</td></tr></tbody></table><div align="center"><br /></div>Mikey 5 108, Mikey10 137, and Mikey 20 163 are all overbought the last time was July 7th. <br /><br /><table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody><tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-hidk7NzVMW0/Tx4-HRcmq1I/AAAAAAAAArQ/DgC6ub9k-D8/s1600/JUL7.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" gda="true" height="250" src="http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-hidk7NzVMW0/Tx4-HRcmq1I/AAAAAAAAArQ/DgC6ub9k-D8/s320/JUL7.png" width="320" /></a></td></tr><tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;">DJI</td></tr></tbody></table><div style="text-align: center;"><br /></div><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12720</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (22 days) ...signal 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (32 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(7</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (21 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+108)<span style="color: red;">Overbought</span> Mikey10 (+137)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+163) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+62) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 59% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">83</span>, </span>10 day .74</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">65</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.67 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+176.62),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+218.01), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.67 VXZ 54.70 Mikey Fear 85 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12669 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price above</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12552<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12415 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12092 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11897 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12019 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11628 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10791 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12708.82 -11.66 S/P 500 1316.00 +.62 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7855.52 +26.19 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2784.17 -2.53 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5240.94 -39.81 DJU 449.76 +1.22</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0729% 2 yr .2345% 5 Yr .8960 % 10 yr 2.05 30 yr 3.12</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.95% 30 Yr Rifi 4.02% 15 Yr 3.27% 5/1 ARM 2.90</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">104.22 -.23 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">116.24 -.74 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.76 +.23 </span></span></strong></span></strong> <strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.49 +.03 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.27-.10 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 312.13 +2.22 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1678.30 +14.30 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 32.27 +.60 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.80 +.06 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1561.10 +29.10 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 99.58 +1.25 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.77 -.01 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.53 +.19 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2983 +.0104 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5450 +.0013 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0658 +.0093 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2788 uc </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0562 +.00858 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">49.94 -.46 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 59.25 +.02 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.15 +.08 IBND (Intl Corp)31.99 +.29</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-family: Trebuchet MS;"></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-20 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-20 </strong></span><span style="color: white;">c<strong>urrent trend neutral</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-20 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:Sugar to up Commodities to up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :US long term to neutral</span><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><div align="center"><span style="background-color: lime;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-7707027213291137064?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-74054859105315694232012-01-20T20:55:00.000-08:002012-01-20T20:55:55.266-08:00Silver trending up Gold trend to neutral<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br />Oil trend to neutral<br />Gold to neutral<br />Silver to up <br /><br />Stocks continued to make multimonth new highs and are nearing the highs of July last year. Bond yields rose and the Euro rallied back above 130 as Central banks swap to Euro to profit from the most recent save the countries auction. Gold and Silver played catch up with other commodities and the Silver trend turned up. Oil traded below the 50 day average an is now trend neutral. Options expired today and in an unusual pattern traded up all week. Mikey 10 and 20 both are clearly over bought and Put/Call ratios are very skinny at .74 and .72 on Put premium on the 10 day. <br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 12280 -12750 DJI Close 12720</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><em><u><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">The Trends</span></span></span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (21 days) ...signal 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (31 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(6</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (20 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+74)<span style="color: blue;">Neut</span> Mikey10 (+123)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+166) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+72) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 58% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">74</span>, </span>10 day .74</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">65</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">72</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.67 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+151.57),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+186.19), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 18.28 VXZ 55.50 Mikey Fear 80 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12615 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Price above</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12512<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12385 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12081 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11811 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12011 Flat/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11629 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10791 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12720.48 +96.50 S/P 500 1315.38 +.88 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7829.33 +9.96 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2786.70 -1.63 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5280.75 -21.12 DJU 448.54 +1.30</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0686% 2 yr .2382% 5 Yr .8847% 10 yr 2.02 30 yr 3.10</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.92% 30 Yr Rifi 4.00% 15 Yr 3.26% 5/1 ARM 2.88</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">104.45 -.36 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">116.94 -1.38</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.53 -.44 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.46 -.04</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.37 -.16</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 309.91 -2.05 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1664.00 +9.50 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 31.67 +1.16 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.74 -.06 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1532 +14.30 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 98.33 -2.21 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.78 -.03 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.34 +.02 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.3012 +.0096 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5441 +.0076 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0566 -.0024 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2788 +.0026 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0504 +.0064 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">80.40 -.27 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 59.23 +.29 PCY (Emerg debt) 27.07 +.07 IBND (Intl Corp) 31.70 uc</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-family: Trebuchet MS;"></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-20 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 12-12 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-20 </strong></span><span style="color: white;">c<strong>urrent trend neutral</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-20 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:Sugar to up Commodities to up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :US long term to neutral</span><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><span style="background-color: lime;"></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-7405485910531569423?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-73421287782103225042012-01-19T20:50:00.000-08:002012-01-19T21:11:06.043-08:00Rates headed up...Long US and DJ Utilities fall to neutral..Stocks at 6 month highs<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Nat Gas in a freefall closes at 2.32</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Long bonds and utility stocks head south</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Stocks make 6 month highs</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Euro appears to be bottoming</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Google misses after close</span><br />Commodities turn up<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>The play is equities and the Euro bond market. The all clear is being given and the swap out of US bonds and dollars appears to have begun. The Long bonds and the Utilities stocks appear to be reversing and are rated neutral after a nice run that started in August with the large US bond offering. Stocks continued to eat into new high territory closing at 6 month highs.</strong></span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 11760 -12600</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>The Trends</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (20 days) 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (30 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(5</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (19 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+79)<span style="color: blue;">Neut</span> Mikey10 (+126)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+192) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+70) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 57% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">68</span>, </span>10 day .70</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">64</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">73</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.67 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+159.19),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+178.66), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 19.87 VXZ 56.44 Mikey Fear 80 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12556 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Priceabove</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12482<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12354 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12068 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11806 Rising/ Price </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12009 Flat/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11624 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10789 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12623.98 +45.03 S/P 500 1314.50 +6.46 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7819.37 +52.42 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2788.33 +18.62 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5301.87 +83.69 DJU 447.24 -4.51 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0712% 2 yr .2301% 5 Yr .8539% 10 yr 1.97 30 yr 3.03</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.91% 30 Yr Rifi 3.97% 15 Yr 3.24% 5/1 ARM 2.87</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">104.81 -.63 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">118.55 -1.42</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.97 +.14 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.50 -.09</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.55 -.06</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 311.96 +1.45 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1654.50 -3.80 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 30.51 -.03 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.80 +.05 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1518.00 -7.30 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 100.39 -.20 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.82 -.01 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.32 -.15 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2807 +.0126 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5314 +.0105 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0509 +.0116</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2821 +.0005 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0448 +.0066 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">80.67 -.51 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 58.70 +.37 PCY (Emerg debt) 26.87 +.11 IBND (Intl Corp) 31.57 +.26</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 11-17 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;">current trend down</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: red;">current trend</span> <span style="color: red;">down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-19 </span><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-11 </strong></span><span style="color: red;">c<strong>urrent trend down</strong></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-11 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-18 <span style="color: white;"><span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">:Sugar to up Commodities to up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :US long term to neutral</span><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><span style="background-color: lime;"></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-7342128778210322504?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-2848678270004501232012-01-18T20:51:00.000-08:002012-01-18T21:13:16.292-08:00DJI takes out top of range all world markets turn to uptrend<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">All world markets turn up ..EURO rallies big off lows. </span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Mikey10 and Mikey20 overbought</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Palldium & Platinum turn up with dollar weakness</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Silver and Gold still in downtrend but should play catch up</span><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">DJI takes out top of range</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">US bonds and dollar sell off with central bank swap into Euro</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 11760 -12600</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>The Trends</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (19 days) 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (29 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(5</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (18 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+63)<span style="color: blue;">Neut</span> Mikey10 (+106)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+154) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+55) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 54% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">74</span>, </span>10 day .72</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">77</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">75</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.67 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+152.81),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+174.67), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 20.89 VXZ 56.87 Mikey Fear 76 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12487 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Priceabove</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12449<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12311 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12055 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11803 Rising/ Price </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12008 Flat/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11617 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10787 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12578.95 +96.88 S/P 500 1308.04 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7766.95 +96.48 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2769.71 +41.63 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5218.18 +49.45 DJU 451.75 +.06</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0629% 2 yr .2297% 5 Yr .7974% 10 yr 1.89 30 yr 2.95 </span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.89% 30 Yr Rifi 3.96% 15 Yr 3.23% 5/1 ARM 2.86</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.44 -.33 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">119.85 -1.59 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.82 +.05 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.59 +.12 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.73 +.10 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 310.51 -.32 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1659.30 +4.30 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 30.54 +.41 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.75 +.02 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1525.30 -3.20 </span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 100.59 -.12 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.83 +.06 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.47 -.02</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2807 +.0126 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5314 +.0105 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0509 +.0116</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2821 +.0005 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0448 +.0066 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">80.67 -.51 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 58.70 +.37 PCY (Emerg debt) 26.87 +.11 IBND (Intl Corp) 31.57 +.26</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 11-17 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;">current trend down</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-18 <span style="color: lime;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: red;">current trend</span> <span style="color: red;">down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-4 </span><em><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-11 </strong></span><span style="color: red;">c<strong>urrent trend down</strong></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-11 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-4 <span style="color: white;">Current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-18 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>1-18 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: China, Brazil, Emerging mkts, Total world mkts to up...Russia & India to neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">: Cotton to up, Palladium to up Copper to up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :</span><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><span style="background-color: lime;"></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-284867827000450123?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-2182648137381844892012-01-17T20:31:00.000-08:002012-01-18T07:25:11.680-08:00Euro creeping up after downgrade.. How did US bonds do after S&P downgrade in August?<strong><em><u><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">News Highlights</span></u></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"></span></strong><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Nat Gas (2.49) sets 10 year low</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Euro rises after Spanish and Italian offerings, S&P downgrade<br />British pound may lose AAA status </span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">German sentiment jumps</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">China grew at 8.9% </span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Iran says they are willing to talk</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Yahoo co founder leaves</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Citi misses, Wells beats</span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Copper, Palladium, Cotton, China, Brazil, Emerging markets all turn up</span><br />Mikey10 and Mikey20 overbought<br />Put/Call .54 and .71 (10 day) Put Premium .72 and .77 (10 day) both low<br />Options expire this week<br /><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">The new Spanish and Italian bonds are doing well after the S&P downgrade of Europe. Go back and look at the charts of US bonds and US dollar in August of last year. That was when S&P downgraded US debt. That was a great time to buy US bonds and the dollar when they downgraded. Will it happen to the EURO and Euro bonds? Probably because that is the kind of misdirection that is used when markets make lows. Is the Dollar topping ? It is my opinion that Central banks are now selling their US bonds and dollars for a nice profit.`They bought the US bonds at the last big US auction in August (right with the S&P downgrade) and are buying the cheap Euro bonds on this downgrade. Slick way to make money from a disaster isn't it</span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 11760 -12500</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>The Trends</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (18 days) 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (28 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(5</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (17 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey5 (+59)<span style="color: blue;">Neut</span> Mikey10 (+104)<span style="color: red;">OB</span><span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;"> </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+139) <span style="color: red;">OB</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+54) <span style="color: blue;">Neut</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 50% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.</span><span style="color: red;">54</span>, </span>10 day .71</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">72</span> 10 day .<span style="color: red;">77</span>, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.71 Bulls 51.1%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+147.06 ),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+167.14), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 22.20 VXZ 57.77 Mikey Fear 71 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12447 <span style="color: black;">Rising/</span> Priceabove</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12426<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12276 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12045 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11799 Rising/ Price </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 12006 Flat/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11617 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10787 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12482.07 +60.01 S/P 500 1293.67 +4.58 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7670.47 +38.44 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2728.08 +17.41 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong> </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5768.73 -7.19 DJU 451.69 +.79</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0629% 2 yr .2174% 5 Yr .7878% 10 yr 1.85 30 yr 2.89 </span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.88% 30 Yr Rifi 3.94% 15 Yr 3.22% 5/1 ARM 2.86</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.70 +.03 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">121.28 +.40</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.77 +.09 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.47 -.03</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.63 -.07 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 310.83 +3.13 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1655.60 +34.80 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 30.13 +.61 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.73 +.10 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1528.50 +39.90 </span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 100.71 +2.01 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.77 +.04 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.49 -.18 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2693 +.0060 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5209 +.0010 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0393 +.0024 </span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2818 +.0020 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0382 +.0059 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">81.18 -.71 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 58.33 +.16 PCY (Emerg debt)26.76 -.02 IBND (Intl Corp) 31.31 +.10 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 11-17 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;">current trend down</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 12-30 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-10 <span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: red;">current trend</span> <span style="color: red;">down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-4 </span><em><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-11 </strong></span><span style="color: red;">c<strong>urrent trend down</strong></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-11 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>11-17 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-4 <span style="color: white;">Current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-03 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend upl</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-17 </strong></span><span style="color: lime;"><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend up</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-03 </strong>current trend neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>12-9 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-17 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: lime;">current trend up</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: China, Brazil, Emerging mkts, Total world mkts to up...Russia & India to neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">: Cotton to up, Palladium to up Copper to up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :</span><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><span style="background-color: lime;"></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-218264813738184489?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-62328152843795536112012-01-13T22:29:00.000-08:002012-01-13T22:29:20.013-08:00S & P downgrades France most of Europe<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><em><u>News Highlights</u></em></strong></span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong></strong></span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>France debt downgraded</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">JP Morgan misses profits fall 23%</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">US exports fall for 2nd month in a row</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;">U of Mich sentiment rose to 74 (this is a joke)</span></strong><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Stocks pullback from top of trading range</strong></span><br /><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>Current trading range: 11760 -12500</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>The Trends</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (17 days) 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (27 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(4</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (16 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey10 (+87) <span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: blue;">Neutral </span></span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+140) <span style="color: red;">Overbought</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+67) <span style="color: blue;">Neutral</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 49% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.90</span>, </span>10 day .73</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">72</span> 10 day .80, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.71 Bulls 51.1%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+147.43 ),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+142.56), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 20.91 VXZ 57.53 Mikey Fear 76 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12415 <span style="color: red;">Falling</span>/ Priceabove</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12406<span style="color: black;"> Flat/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12248 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12032 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11737 Rising/ Price </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 11998 Flat/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11614 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10785 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: medium;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12422.06 -48.96 S/P 500 1289.09 -6.41 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7632.03 -49.23</strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NASDAQ 2710.67 -14.03 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>S/P Small Cap 427.22 -3.79 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>Russell 2000 764.20 -6.29 </strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5175.92 -33.44 DJU 450.90-.54</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0559% 2 yr .2212% 5 Yr .7895% 10 yr 1.87 30 yr 2.91</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.91% 30 Yr Rifi 3.96% 15 Yr 3.26% 5/1 ARM 2.87</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.67 +.47 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">120.90 +1.21</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.68 +.28 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.50 +.01</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.70 +.25</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 307.70 -2.16</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1630.80 -16.90 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 29.52 -.60 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.63 -.01 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1488.80 -11.30</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 98.70 -.40 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.73 uc </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.67 -.01</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2620 -.0156 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5199 -.0021 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 1.0370 -.0093</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 1.2796 -.0026 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0329 -.0028 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">81.79 +.75</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 58.17 -.20 PCY (Emerg debt)26.81 -.15 IBND (Intl Corp) 31.21 -.13</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;">World debt markets</span></em></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-12 </strong><strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 11-17 </span></span><em><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;">current trend down</span></em></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></strong></span></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><em></em></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Canadian Dollar 12-30 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Mexican Peso 1-10 <span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: red;">current trend</span> <span style="color: red;">down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Indian Rupe 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-4 </span><em><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-11 </strong></span><span style="color: red;">c<strong>urrent trend down</strong></span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-11 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>12-12 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>11-17 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>12-14 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>10-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-4 <span style="color: red;">Current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: medium;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-03-12 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-03 </strong>current trend neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-03 </strong><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend neutral</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-03 </strong>current trend neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>11-9 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>12-9 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-03 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-03 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :</span><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><span style="background-color: lime;"></span><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-6232815284379553611?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-69640502625314784392012-01-12T20:09:00.000-08:002012-01-12T20:18:48.749-08:00Mikey 10 and 20 overbought<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><em><u>News Highlights</u></em></strong></span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong></strong></span><br />1 million drop off employment rolls since end of recession<br />Holiday retail sales called lackluster gain .1%<br />Weekly jobless claims rise 24000 to 399000<br />Italian and Spanish bond sales robust..Euro rallies<br /><br /><br />The Mikey10 and 20 are overbought and the 10 day Put/Call average at .72 and the 10 day Put premium at a low .83 and the hourly up for 16 days a sell off would not surprise me here. The trend is still up on all time levels. Options expire next week.<br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>The Trends</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (16 days) 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (26 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(4</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (15 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey10 (+140) <span style="color: blue;"><span style="color: red;">Overbought</span> </span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+134) <span style="color: red;">Overbought</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+55) <span style="color: blue;">Neutral</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 50% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">.80</span>, </span>10 day .72</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">76</span> 10 day .83, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.71 Bulls 51.1%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+152.05 ),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+146.57), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 20.47 VXZ 56.48 Mikey Fear 78 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12443 Rising/ Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12408<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12215 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12016 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11739 Rising/ Price </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 11999 Flat/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11616 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10786 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12471.02 +21.57 S/P 500 1295.50 +3.02 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>NYSE Comp 7681.26 +19.28</strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>N</strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>ASDAQ 2724.10 +13.94 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>S/P Small Cap 428.70 +1.08 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>Russell 2000 770.49 +3.25 </strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJT 5209.36 +13.18 DJU 451.54 -.04</strong></span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>US Debt</strong> <strong>Markets</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Gov rates: 6 mo .0559% 2 yr .2292% 5 Yr .8265% 10 yr 1.92 30 yr 2.97</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.93% 30 Yr Rifi 3.99% 15 Yr 3.24% 5/1 ARM 2.88</span></span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">IEF (US 7-10 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">105.00 -.42 </span></span></span><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">TLT (20 yr)</span> <span style="color: white;">119.68 -.18</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: white;">MUB (NatlMuni) 110.40 +.07 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">Cal Muni (NCA)9.49 +.03</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: #ea9999;"><span style="color: white;">BND Total Bond Index</span> <span style="color: white;">83.39 -.18</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;"><strong>Commodities</strong></span> </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">CRB Commodities Index 309.86 -3.75 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold 1647.70 +8.10 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver 30.11 +.22</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper 3.64 +.10 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: Trebuchet MS;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum 1500.10 +2.50 </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Oil 99.10 -1.77 </span></span><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">RBOB </span><span style="color: white;">2.73 -.03 </span></span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Nat Gas 2.68 -.09</span></span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><span style="background-color: yellow;"><span style="color: black;">U</span>S</span> Dollar Index and World Currencies</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Euro 1.2769 +.0113 </span><span style="color: white;">Pound 1.5213 +.0012 </span></span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Sw</span><span style="color: white;">iss Franc 104.63 +0116</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><span style="color: white;">Yen 12827 +.0021 </span><span style="color: white;">Aussie 1.0357 +.0038</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">Dollar Index </span><span style="color: white;">81.04 -.57</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="color: black;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">World Debt markets</span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: red;"><strong><span style="color: white;">BWX (Intl Treas 58.37 +.17 PCY (Emerg debt)26.97 uc IBND (Intl Corp) 31..56 +.40 </span></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><u><span style="font-size: x-large;"><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black;">All Markets Current Trends</span></span></u></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"> </span></strong> <br /><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><strong><em><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;">World debt markets</span></em></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Bonds: 1-9 </strong><strong><span style="color: white;">c<em>urrent trend neutral</em></span></strong></span></span><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Natl Muni Markets:</strong>: <span style="color: lime;"><strong><em>11-21 </em>c</strong><strong><em>urrent trend up</em></strong></span></span></span><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Treas Bonds <em>11-9 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Intl Corp Bonds 1-3-12 <em><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;">US High Yield 12-12 <em><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></em></span></span></strong><br /><span style="color: white;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><strong>US Preferred Stocks 11-30 </strong><strong><em><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">current </span></span><span style="color: white;">trend neutral</span></em></strong></span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;"><em>Currencies markets </em></span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;"><em></em></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">US Dollar Index 11-14 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Aussie Dollar 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Euro 11-14 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Brit Pd 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Swiss Franc: 10-27 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Jap Yen 1-10 <span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Canadian Dollar 12-30 <span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Mexican Peso 1-10 <span style="color: red;"><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span> </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Brazilian Real 12-12 <span style="color: red;">current trend</span> <span style="color: red;">down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white; font-size: small;">Indian Rupe 11-21 <span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span><br /><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Commodity index (Broad based) 1-4 </span><em><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></em></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><strong>Metals</strong></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;"><strong>Gold:</strong> .<strong>12-11 </strong></span><span style="color: red;">c<strong>urrent trend down</strong></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <strong>12-11 <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Copper <strong>12-12 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Platinum <strong>11-17 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Palladium <strong>12-14 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Agg, Fiber, Wood </span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Grains <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Cotton <strong>10-21 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Livestock <strong>12-7 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend neutral</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Coffee <strong>9-21 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down </span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Sugar 1-4 Current trend neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Lumber <strong>12-28 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Energy</span> </div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil <strong>12-21 </strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Heating Oil 1-3 <span style="color: lime;">Current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gasoline <strong>12-21<span style="color: orange;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Natural Gas <strong>7-28</strong> <span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: large;"><strong><em>World Stock markets</em></strong></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks: <strong>12-14<span style="color: white;"> </span></strong><span style="color: lime;">current trend up </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Europe <strong>1-03-12 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">China:<strong> 1-03 </strong>current trend neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="color: white;">Brazil <strong>1-03 </strong><span style="background-color: lime;"><span style="background-color: blue;">current</span><span style="background-color: blue;"> trend neutral</span></span></span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Japan <strong>1-03 </strong>current trend neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">India <strong>11-9 </strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Russia <strong>12-9 <span style="color: red;"> </span></strong><span style="color: red;">current trend down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets: <strong>1-03 </strong><span style="color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Total world markets<strong> 1-03 </strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">current trend neutral</span></span><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: cyan; color: black; font-size: x-large;">Intermediate Term Trends</span></u></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Dollar:<span style="color: lime;">Up</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Bonds: Up</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Bonds: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">US Stocks Up</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Oil: Up </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Gold: <span style="color: red;">Down</span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Silver: <span style="color: red;">Down</span> </span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Debt: <span style="color: lime;"><span style="color: white;">Neutra</span></span><span style="color: white;">l </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Emerging Markets:<span style="color: red;"> Down</span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: <span style="color: red;">Down </span></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"></span></strong></div><div style="border-bottom: medium none; border-left: medium none; border-right: medium none; border-top: medium none;"><br /><span style="background-color: blue;"><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Trend changes today: </span></span><br /><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Stocks: </span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Currencies:,Aussie up, Yen up, Peso neutral</span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">Commodities<span style="color: white;">: </span></span><br /><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;">World Debt :</span><br /><br /><span style="color: white;"></span></div><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3136355439957317229-6964050262531478439?l=themarketshadow.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>Mikey The Market Shadowhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06741962215749548267noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3136355439957317229.post-83254091616217635682012-01-11T22:07:00.000-08:002012-01-11T22:07:42.294-08:00The story says economy gaining<span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><em><u>News Highlights</u></em></strong></span><br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong></strong></span><br /><br />Fed Beige Book: Consuner spending picking up, Housing remains weak<br />Germain economy slows<br />China inflation slows<br />Defensive groups weak<br />Housing stocks strong<br />Bank stocks strong<br />Iran accuses US Isreal of killing Iranian scientist<br /><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mikey</strong></span> <br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><em><u><strong>Key Indicators</strong></u></em></span><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u><em>The Trends</em></u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Short term (50 hour) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (14 days) 12-2 <u>12102</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Current trend (50 day) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (24 days)...signal 12-2-11 <u>12019 </u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Intermediate trend (50 week) <span style="color: lime;">Up </span><span style="color: black;">(4</span><span style="color: black;"> weeks)</span>...signal 12-19-11 </span></strong></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;"><u>12294</u></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">Long term trend (50 month) <span style="color: lime;">Up</span> (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 <em><u>11577</u></em></span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">IBD Current trend 12-20 <span style="color: lime;">Up </span> (11 days) Market in </span><span style="background-color: yellow;">confirmed uptrend 12103</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;"><u><em>Overbought/Oversold</em></u> <span style="color: red;">(+100 overbought</span>/-<span style="color: lime;">100 oversold</span>)</span></strong><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey10 (+91) <span style="color: blue;">Neutral </span></span></span></strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey20 (+106) <span style="color: red;">Overbought</span>, </span></strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow;">Mikey50 (+29) <span style="color: blue;">Neutral</span></span></strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>% Stocks above 200 day ave 49% (above 50% uptrend)</strong></span><br /><br /><strong><u><span style="background-color: yellow;">Trader Psychology</span></u></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong><span style="color: red;"><span style="color: black;">Put/Call day </span><span style="color: red;">.78, </span>10 day .73</span>, Put Premium <span style="color: red;">.</span><span style="color: red;">73</span> 10 day .86, </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Bull/Bear Ratio 1.71 Bulls 51.1%, Bears 29.8%</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>MACD Daily (+151.13),<span style="color: black;">Positive cross 12-22</span>, </strong></span><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>Weekly (+144.67), <span style="color: lime;">Positive cross</span> 10-24</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>VIX 21.05 VXZ 56.85 Mikey Fear 76 (80 Low 20 High) </strong></span></strong><br /><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">Averages (uptrend 20>50)</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 hour 12427 Rising/ Price below</span></strong></strong><br /><strong><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 hour 12402<span style="color: black;"> Rising/Price above</span></span></strong></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">20 day 12189 Rising/Price above</span></strong></span></strong><br /><strong><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;">50 day 12006 Rising/ <span style="color: black;">Price above</span></span></strong></span></strong><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 week 11738 Rising/ Price </strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>50 week 11999 Rising/ Price above</strong></span><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black; font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><strong>20 month 11615 Rising/Price above</strong></span><br /><strong><span style="background-color: yellow; font-family: Trebuchet MS;">50 month 10786 Flat/Price above</span></strong><br /><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong><span style="font-size: large;">Closing Prices</span></strong></span></span></strong><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong></strong></span></span></strong><br /><br /><span style="background-color: yellow; color: black;">US Stocks</span><br /><strong><span style="font-family: "Trebuchet MS", sans-serif;"><span style="background-color: blue; color: white;"><strong>DJIA 12449.45 -13.02 S/P 500 1292.48