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I am not a financial advisor and my picks are not recomendations. I was a stock broker for 19 years and have followed and traded the markets from 1977 to present. This blog is not for everyone, it is written through my eyes and from the prespective of the experiences I have had watching and listening to the markets for the past 34 years. This blog is an attempt to track market trends and comment on the financial story. I believe that this story is pure fiction designed to direct the flow of money in the financial markets. The financial markets are a casino run by big government and big business to recycle the money created by government back to its "rightful" owners. I will spend little time commenting on the state of the economy because of the misdirection this story creates. I follow trends because it takes my opinions out of the game and focuses my attention on price direction. The indicators and trend calls I make are my best educated guesses based on my experience. This blog is a work in progress and from time to time I will attempt to upgrade it by making changes I think will help.

Wednesday, January 18, 2012

DJI takes out top of range all world markets turn to uptrend

News Highlights


All world markets turn up ..EURO rallies big off lows.
Mikey10 and Mikey20 overbought
Palldium & Platinum turn up with dollar weakness
Silver and Gold still in downtrend but should play catch upDJI takes out top of range
US bonds and dollar sell off with central bank swap into Euro

Mikey


Key Indicators

Current trading range: 11760 -12600
The Trends
Short term (50 hour) Up (19 days) 12-2 12102
Current trend (50 day) Up (29 days)...signal 12-2-11 12019
Intermediate trend (50 week) Up (5 weeks)...signal 12-19-11 12294
Long term trend (50 month) Up (12 months)...signal 12/1/10 11577
IBD Current trend 12-20 Up  (18 days) Market in confirmed uptrend 12103
Overbought/Oversold (+100 overbought/-100 oversold)
Mikey5 (+63)Neut Mikey10 (+106)OB Mikey20 (+154) OB, Mikey50 (+55) Neut
% Stocks above 200 day ave 54% (above 50% uptrend)
Trader Psychology
Put/Call day .74, 10 day .72,  Put Premium .77 10 day .75,  
Bull/Bear Ratio 1.67 Bulls 50.0%, Bears 29.8%
Mutial Funds Buy/Redeem ratio 1.01
MACD  Daily (+152.81),Positive cross 12-22, Weekly (+174.67), Positive cross 10-24
VIX 20.89 VXZ 56.87 Mikey Fear 76 (80 Low 20 High) 
Averages (uptrend 20>50)
20 hour 12487 Rising/ Priceabove
50 hour 12449 Rising/Price above
20 day 12311 Rising/Price above
50 day 12055 Rising/ Price above
20 week 11803 Rising/ Price
50 week 12008 Flat/ Price above
20 month 11617 Rising/Price above
50 month 10787 Flat/Price above

Closing Prices

US Stocks
DJIA 12578.95 +96.88 S/P 500 1308.04 NYSE Comp 7766.95 +96.48
NASDAQ  2769.71 +41.63 DJT 5218.18 +49.45  DJU 451.75 +.06
US Debt Markets
US Gov rates: 6 mo .0629%  2 yr .2297% 5 Yr .7974% 10 yr 1.89 30 yr 2.95
Ave Mtg rates : 30 Yr 3.89% 30 Yr Rifi 3.96% 15 Yr 3.23% 5/1 ARM 2.86
IEF (US 7-10 yr) 105.44 -.33  TLT (20 yr) 119.85 -1.59
MUB (NatlMuni) 110.82 +.05 Cal Muni (NCA)9.59 +.12
BND Total Bond Index 83.73 +.10
Commodities
CRB Commodities Index 310.51 -.32

Gold 1659.30 +4.30 Silver 30.54 +.41 Copper 3.75 +.02 Platinum 1525.30 -3.20 Oil 100.59 -.12 RBOB 2.83 +.06 Nat Gas 2.47 -.02
US Dollar Index and World Currencies
Euro 1.2807 +.0126 Pound 1.5314 +.0105
Swiss Franc 1.0509 +.0116
Yen  1.2821 +.0005  Aussie 1.0448 +.0066
Dollar Index 80.67 -.51 
World Debt markets
BWX (Intl Treas 58.70 +.37  PCY (Emerg debt) 26.87 +.11 IBND (Intl Corp) 31.57 +.26

All Markets Current Trends 

World debt markets
US Bonds: 1-12 current trend up
US Natl Muni Markets:11-21 current trend up
Intl Treas Bonds 11-9 current trend down
Intl Corp Bonds 11-17 current trend down
Emerging Markets Debt: 11-21 current trend down
US High Yield 12-12 current trend up
US Preferred Stocks 11-30 current trend up
Currencies markets
US Dollar Index 11-14 current trend up
Aussie Dollar 1-10 current trend up
Euro 11-14 current trend down
Brit Pd 11-21 current trend down
Swiss Franc: 10-27 current trend down
Jap Yen 1-10 current trend up
Canadian Dollar 1-18 current trend upl
Mexican Peso 1-18 current trend neutral
Brazilian Real 12-12 current trend down
Indian Rupe 11-21 current trend down

Commodity index (Broad based) 1-4 current trend neutral
Metals
Gold: .12-11  current trend down
Silver: 12-11 current trend down
Copper 1-17 current trend up
Platinum 1-18 current trend up
Palladium 1-17 current trend up
Agg, Fiber, Wood
Grains  Current trend down
Cotton 1-17 current trend upl
Livestock 12-7 current trend neutral
Coffee 9-21 current trend down
Sugar 1-4 Current trend neutral
Lumber 12-28 current trend neutral
Energy
Oil 12-21 current trend up
Heating Oil 1-3 Current trend up
Gasoline 12-21 current trend up
Natural Gas 7-28 current trend down
World Stock markets
US Stocks: 12-14 current trend up
Europe 1-18 current trend up
China: 1-17 current trend upl
Brazil 1-17 current trend up
Japan 1-18 current trend up
India 1-17 current trend up
Russia 1-18  current trend upl
Emerging Markets: 1-17 current trend up
Total world markets 1-17 current trend up

Intermediate Term Trends
Dollar:Up
US Bonds: Up
World Bonds: Down
US Stocks Up
Commodities: Down
Oil: Up
Gold: Down
Silver: Down
Emerging Debt: Neutral
Emerging Markets: Down
World Stocks: Down 

Trend changes today:
World Stocks:  China, Brazil, Emerging mkts, Total world mkts to up...Russia & India to neutral
Currencies:,
Commodities: Cotton to up, Palladium to up Copper to up
World Debt :

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