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Mikey's Short Term Trading Rules

1) Make up a list of stocks, commodities or ETF's to trade. This list should be names that have good earnings and high relative strength.
2) Monitor this list and throw out the weaker names
3) Buy only stocks or ETF's that are intermediate and daily up (green) and the market is Daily and intermediate term up (green)
4) Buy pullbacks on these stocks to the 20 and 50 day averages
Usually you get 4 to 6 20 day pullback buys and 2 or 3 50 day pullback buys in an intermediate term trend
5) More agressive traders can buy the 7 day average in the first 3 to 8 weeks of the uptrend.
6) Buy pullbacks not runups. A buy should not be easy or exciting but difficult and somewhat scary. DO NOT CHASE
7) Place stop at 5% below the buy price. Do not remove
8) Sell 3 to 5 days after the stock price takes out its most recent 2 week high with at least 15% gains
9) Uptrends that are 12 weeks or more may be ripe for a correction. The first 2 pullbacks to the 50 day are usually safe.
Intermediate term uptrends and downtrends generally last from 8 to 16 weeks with 12 weeks being the norm.
10) Shorting is a viable strategy in downtrends for experienced traders only. In general, reverse the above rules
11) Tweet Mikey @themarketshadow with questions or ideas

Thursday, November 18, 2010

GM

General Motors shares [GM 35.46 2.46 (+7.45%) ] traded up 7 percent on Thursday morning, in a dramatic market return for the top U.S. automaker that comes less than a year and half after it emerged from a government-funded bankruptcy.

The shares opened at $35, above the initial public offering price of $33 and rose as high as $35.99 in early trading.

GM shares began trading on the New York and Toronto stock exchanges with the rev of a Camaro engine on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange taking the place of the traditional ringing of the bell.

The start of trading in GM shares represents the last step in a blockbuster initial public offering negotiated by the Obama administration that raised $20.1 billion after pricing the automaker's shares at $33 each.

The IPO caps the first stage of a turnaround that has taken the 102-year-old automaker from near-death in 2008, via a 2009 bailout, to unlikely Wall Street flotation favorite in 2010.

Obama administration officials said the strong market debut for GM showed they made the right choice in restructuring the auto maker with $50 billion in financing.

"This is a bit better than people had been projecting. As to a year ago. it's not even in the same ballpark," Ron Bloom, the U.S. Treasury official in charge of the GM investment told Reuters Insider. "A year ago, people said 'you have no exit, you have no strategy. This company is not fixed.'"

The GM rescue left the Treasury with a 61 percent stake and the automaker with the embarrassing nickname "Government Motors." After the IPO, the U.S. government sale could drop to 33 percent.

The IPO values GM at about $63 billion. Including an option that would allow underwriters to sell more shares, GM looks set to raise $23.1 billion, eclipsing the record $22.1 billion raised by Agricultural Bank of China in July.

The team of GM executives led by Chief Executive Dan Akerson that pitched the IPO to investors said they recognized their job in transforming GM was not done.

"We have to celebrate on the run here," GM North America President Mark Reuss told Reuters. "It's a big day to become a public company again but we have got to just hit the ball out of the park here every day on product."

Chief Financial Officer Chris Liddell said the automaker's goal was to pay down all of its remaining debt and fully fund its pension plan, removing one of the concerns investors had cited heading into the IPO.

GM Aiming for No Debt on Balance Sheet: CEOPricing: $33 a ShareWould You Buy A GM Car?Iconic GM Models
"We are in a good position to do that over the next few years," Liddell told Reuters Insider.

At $33 a share, the partial sale represents a loss of about $9 billion on taxpayers' original investment, assuming the extra shares go at the same price.

In Europe, the IPO news pushed auto stocks higher.

"It's absolutely remarkable how the sentiment has totally changed over such a short time period, said trader Stefan de Schutter of Alpha Trading brokerage said.In Tokyo, Fumiyuki Nakanishi, a manager at SMBC Friend Securities, struck a note of caution for Japanese rivals.

"If global funds add GM as a core stock in the automotive sector, there's a chance that its Japanese peers, though I'm not sure which one, will be pushed out," he said.

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