Take a look at the front page of the San Diego Union today. A picture of the world and below that a picture of traders glued to a falling stock market and Headlines saying Expanding credit crisis has gone truly global. The sub headline reads More markets slip:investors fear a worldwide recession. Makes you want to play it safe doesn't it. Just like the experts say be safe with your money be very careful now. Jim Cramer says get out if you need the money in the next 5 years.
These "experts" and financial folks have been telling you for the last 3 years don't worry invest for the long term and now after you lose 30% you are suppose to be safe. What is wrong with this picture. I have been short or out of this thing until the last few weeks. I am beginning the process of buying cheap assets. I don't know when I will make money that is unknowable but I do expect to make money.
The time to invest is now not everything but start the process now. The market looked like it reversed yesterday and is selling off today. The situation looks hopeless now it is out of control even the FED is helpless.This picture can look hopeless for weeks to come but these are good prices and the news at some point will offer hope.
The 700 billion bailout was passed and it will make a big difference. The market and the experts are trying to tell you otherwise now. What is very interesting is that the Treasury is going to auction off alot of debt in the next few weeks and guess what "investors are going to gobble the bonds up because....they want to be safe. Funny how that works when you want to sell bond trash a few banks Globally and drive panic depositors into your Bond sale under the guise of safety. That my friends is what is happening.
The bottom line is I don't want to be safe and I would not buy those bonds with your money. Why because at some point in the future when the sun comes out, and it will come out, the interest rates will rise and every investor that bought those bonds with a 3% yield will say "what was I thinking". Why did I sell my stock and buy those bonds. Well you will know if you SAVE TODAY'S FRONT PAGE OF THE UNION TRIBUNE.
What I am telling you here is that Lehman Bros was a designed event it did not have to happen they could have saved this company like they did Bear Stearns. I am also saying that Washington Mutial seizure was a staged event by the Fed and JP Morgan..a major shareholder of the Federal Reserve Bank. These and other siezures were created to dive money into the bond market. To drive interest rates lower so the Treasury, certain large banks could buy bank deposits for pennies on the dollar and sell debt cheaply to kick start the next recovery. They stole these banks and in the process staged a financial panic.
It appears to the outsider that this situations is out of control as the article suggest on the front page. It is not out of control it is fully under control. It is proceeding according to the plan and it will be very successful.
If you look at the larger picture it all makes sense. Save this blog and read it later because I know now that it will not make sense to you
As I have said before don't bet against this "bailout" not working that would be a big mistake. I tell it like it is!
The beat goes on......MIkey
Added to MS buy at 18.25 1/4 position today what a gift.
Tracking market trends...An alternative to the main stream financial press
Posting Times
Posts will be between 8:30 PM to 10:00 PM PST
Mikey's Short Term Trading Rules
1) Make up a list of stocks, commodities or ETF's to trade. This list should be names that have good earnings and high relative strength.
2) Monitor this list and throw out the weaker names
3) Buy only stocks or ETF's that are intermediate and daily up (green) and the market is Daily and intermediate term up (green)
4) Buy pullbacks on these stocks to the 20 and 50 day averages
Usually you get 4 to 6 20 day pullback buys and 2 or 3 50 day pullback buys in an intermediate term trend
5) More agressive traders can buy the 7 day average in the first 3 to 8 weeks of the uptrend.
6) Buy pullbacks not runups. A buy should not be easy or exciting but difficult and somewhat scary. DO NOT CHASE
7) Place stop at 5% below the buy price. Do not remove
8) Sell 3 to 5 days after the stock price takes out its most recent 2 week high with at least 15% gains
9) Uptrends that are 12 weeks or more may be ripe for a correction. The first 2 pullbacks to the 50 day are usually safe.
Intermediate term uptrends and downtrends generally last from 8 to 16 weeks with 12 weeks being the norm.
10) Shorting is a viable strategy in downtrends for experienced traders only. In general, reverse the above rules
11) Tweet Mikey @themarketshadow with questions or ideas
1) Make up a list of stocks, commodities or ETF's to trade. This list should be names that have good earnings and high relative strength.
2) Monitor this list and throw out the weaker names
3) Buy only stocks or ETF's that are intermediate and daily up (green) and the market is Daily and intermediate term up (green)
4) Buy pullbacks on these stocks to the 20 and 50 day averages
Usually you get 4 to 6 20 day pullback buys and 2 or 3 50 day pullback buys in an intermediate term trend
5) More agressive traders can buy the 7 day average in the first 3 to 8 weeks of the uptrend.
6) Buy pullbacks not runups. A buy should not be easy or exciting but difficult and somewhat scary. DO NOT CHASE
7) Place stop at 5% below the buy price. Do not remove
8) Sell 3 to 5 days after the stock price takes out its most recent 2 week high with at least 15% gains
9) Uptrends that are 12 weeks or more may be ripe for a correction. The first 2 pullbacks to the 50 day are usually safe.
Intermediate term uptrends and downtrends generally last from 8 to 16 weeks with 12 weeks being the norm.
10) Shorting is a viable strategy in downtrends for experienced traders only. In general, reverse the above rules
11) Tweet Mikey @themarketshadow with questions or ideas
Tuesday, October 7, 2008
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
2 comments:
mikey you still holding UAUA ? its been cut in 1/2. currently @ 5.12 when are you looking to buy it ??
Bought DAL today Yes I would buy more UAUA at his price. I think this market is going to explode to the upside. Remember when you buy buy in steps this is a good plae to add to UAUA
Post a Comment